Will Rook and Adam Drury provide their football tips for Saturday's matches.

WIN/DRAW/WIN

Aston Villa to beat Watford & over 1.5 goals (15:00)

Watford have lost 10 of their last 12 matches, with eight of those defeats featuring over 1.5 goals.

The Hornets, who are yet to score in three matches under Roy Hodgson, were outplayed by Brighton last time out and take on an Aston Villa side that is free-scoring at Villa Park.

Villa have netted 11 goals in five home matches under Steven Gerrard.

Derby to beat Peterborough (15:00)

Derby have won four and drawn one of their last five matches at Pride Park.

The Rams are second-bottom of the Championship, but would be 16th in the table without their point deduction.

Peterborough are the worst travellers in the division, having lost 13 away games out of 15.

Luton to beat West Brom (15:00)

Luton come into this having won eight and drawn two of their last 12 matches in all competitions.

The Hatters lost 3-0 at Birmingham last weekend, but should be able to get their play-off push back on track back at home, where they are unbeaten in six.

West Brom have lost three and drawn one of their last four games – the last two under new manager Steve Bruce – and have failed to score in their last four.

Forest Green to beat Walsall (15:00)

Even with 16 games to go, it’s hard to argue against the fact that Forest Green are the League Two champions-elect.

Rob Edwards’ side are 11 points clear at the top of the table, have two games in hand on second place and are unbeaten in 19 league games.

Walsall beat second-placed Tranmere 1-0 last weekend, but had lost seven on the bounce prior to that.

Ajax to win to nil v Willem II (17:45)

Ajax are five points ahead of PSV at the top of the Eredivisie and have won 17 league games out of 22, including each of their last six.

Erik ten Hag’s side have conceded just five goals in that period, with two of those coming in one of their two league defeats this season, against AZ Alkmaar in December.

Willem II have lost 11 of their last 12 matches, failing to score in four of their last five defeats.

Union Saint Gilloise to beat Sporting Charleroi (19:45)

Union are seven points clear at the top of the Belgian First Division A, having won eight of their last 10 matches.

The league leaders have the best travelling record in the division, with 10 victories and two draws from 13.

Charleroi have taken one point from six games against sides currently above them in the table and lost the reverse fixture 4-0 in November.

BTTS

Crystal Palace v Chelsea (15:00)

BTTS has landed in five of Crystal Palace’s last six league home games, with the only exception a 3-0 win over Norwich.

The run includes a 3-1 defeat to Liverpool and 3-2 defeat to West Ham.

Chelsea have only failed to score at Man City in their last 13 matches, while they have managed just one clean sheet in six away from home in the league.

Bristol City v Middlesbrough (15:00)

BTTS has landed in 11 consecutive Bristol City league matches.

Three of their last five Championship matches at Ashton Gate have finished 3-2.

Middlesbrough have scored and conceded in four of their last five away games.

MYTHBUSTER

Millwall to win or draw v Blackburn & under 4.5 goals (15:00)

Blackburn are without a win in four matches as their automatic promotion bid stumbles.

Rovers have failed to score in any of those games, and they are missing key striker Ben Brereton Diaz here.

Millwall have only lost at league-leaders Fulham in their last five matches, with under 4.5 goals landing in all of those games.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER

Armando Broja (Southampton) to score v Everton (15:00)

Broja has been one of the breakout stars of the Premier League season, with only six players scoring more Premier League goals since the middle of October.

He has scored in four of his last eight league home matches and netted at Tottenham 10 days ago.

Everton conceded three goals at Newcastle in their first away match under Frank Lampard and have conceded 20 goals in their last 10 away games.

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