Adam Drury provides his football tips for Wednesday's action in the Premier League and Serie A.

Manchester City (-2) to beat Newcastle (18:00)

Manchester City were very unlucky not to score a few goals against Southampton on Sunday, let alone one, after they racked up 3.40 in xG and were denied by a series of heroic blocks and saves.

Considering that they have won their three matches at the Etihad 3-0, 5-0 and 4-0 since the restart, they are a good bet to emphatically put it right here.

Newcastle have key attacker Allan Saint-Maximin injured, so are unlikely to score, and have already been beaten by more than two at Leicester, Manchester United and Arsenal this season.

Napoli to beat Genoa & under 4.5 goals (18:30)

Napoli have won three of their last four games, with all of them featuring under 4.5 goals.

Prior to a defeat at Atalanta last week, they had won five consecutive away matches.

Genoa are without a win in four, losing 3-1 to Juventus a week ago.

Under 2.5 goals in Brighton v Liverpool (20:15)

Liverpool looked well short of their best against Aston Villa on Sunday, eventually winning 2-0.

Jurgen Klopp’s side have failed to score in any of their last five away games, including in a 0-0 draw at Everton in their first match of the restart.

Brighton have conceded more than once in just one of their last eight games.

Atalanta (-1) to beat Sampdoria (20:45)

Atalanta have won their last five home games, scoring at least twice in all of them.

They have only failed to win by more than one against top-five Serie A teams on that run, beating Valencia and Sassuolo 4-1.

Sampdoria have lost 2-0 at Napoli and 5-1 at Lazio so far this season.

Over 3.5 goals in Bologna v Sassuolo (20:45)

Sassuolo’s last four matches have finished 3-3, 3-3, 1-3 and 4-2.

Over 3.5 goals has landed in all of their last four away games, too, including a 4-1 defeat at Atalanta and a 3-3 draw at Inter.

Bologna scored twice in Sunday’s outstanding win at Inter, while the reverse fixture between these sides in November finished 3-1 to Sassuolo.

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