Back to win: Tommy Fleetwood –

There’s no doubt Fleetwood is currently one of the best golfers in the world. He has three top-six finishes in five 2018 starts, including a win in Abu Dhabi in January.

The Englishman has won three times on the European Tour since the start of 2017, and clearly has it in him to triumph this week. He finished fourth at the Honda Classic a few weeks ago, just two shots behind winner Justin Thomas.

Fleetwood ranks second in shots gained from tee to green on the PGA Tour this season, and will love the risk-or-reward nature of Bay Hill as he ranks third in going for the green.

The world No. 11 finished 10th here on debut last year and is a much better player now. He has to be considered a major contender.

Each-way shout: Brian Harman –

Harman’s been consistent in 2018, making the cut in five of his six starts and recording three top-five finishes, including a T5 in his last start at the WGC Mexico Championship a fortnight ago.

The American ranks ninth in total shots gained this year and has been hot on the greens, ranking sixth in shots gained putting.

Harman has performed well at the Arnold Palmer in the past, with three top-20s in his last six appearances.

Given that the 31-year-old ranks second in greens in regulation percentage, he should improve on that result this week.

Outside shot: Louis Oosthuizen –

Oosthuizen has made the cut in four of his five starts in 2018, with a T16 at the Valspar last weekend his best finish of the season.

The South African has started well and climbed the leaderboard in each of his last three tournaments, only for one poor weekend round to ruin his chances of contending.

This could be the week that Oosthuizen puts it all together at a course he’s perfectly suited to.

The 35-year-old is a Bermudagrass specialist and has been one of the PGA Tour’s top performers at Florida courses since 2014.

{ODDSBANNER:250493620:50/1:Louis Oosthuizen to win (e/w)

Tiger watch

The Big Cat’s back.

I tipped a top-10 place for the Tiger at last weekend’s Valspar Championship, but no one could have expected 14-time major winner to finish second and come so close to winning his first tournament since 2013.

Incredibly, he’s the favourite this weekend at an event that he’s won eight times, including four times in his last five starts.

That’s a formidable record, but this price is just too short given that Woods has played in a total of seven events since the end of 2016.

It’s hard for most players to put together four good rounds a week after contending on a Sunday, and Tiger’s lack of regular golf means it wouldn’t be a surprise if he suffers a hangover this weekend.

Don’t back him to win, but another top-10 finish is definitely worth a bet.