Back to win: Jordan Spieth 20/1
Spieth has been in wretched form since September, and few players would be worth backing to win a PGA Tour event after a run of just one top-30 finish in 10 starts.
But at this event, against this field, in his home state and just one week before the Masters, he’s worth a bet.
The world No. 30 has struggled on the greens for a long time, but showed flashes of his former brilliance with the putter at last week’s WGC Dell Match Play, particularly in his Thursday win over eventual quarter-finalist Kevin Na.
Only Brooks Koepka has performed better at Texas courses than Spieth over the past five years, and the 25-year-old finished second at this event on his last appearance in 2015.
He’s behind only Rickie Fowler, Matt Kuchar and Tony Finau in the betting, all of whom don’t win nearly regularly enough to justify their prices, so there’s a real chance he can build some momentum before Augusta.
Each-way shout: Abraham Ancer 28/1
Ancer looks on course to earn his first PGA Tour win very soon, having finished T12 at the PLAYERS Championship a fortnight ago and impressed at last week’s WGC Dell Match Play.
The Mexican lost his first match to the in-form Paul Casey, but went on to comfortably beat both Cameron Smith and Charles Howell III, missing out on the knock-out rounds by half a point.
Ancer was born in Texas and has played well in the state in the past, finishing eighth at last year’s Houston Open.
The 28-year-old plays well in the kind of windy conditions that are expected in San Antonio this week and has a good chance given the lack of big names in the field.
Outside shot: Aaron Baddeley 50/1
Baddeley has been one of the most consistent performers at this event in recent years, finishing inside the top 20 in five of his seven starts, including a T3 and 2010 and a fifth in 2017.
The Australian is also in fine form, with a T2 at the Puerto Rico Open in Febuary and a T7 in the Dominican Republic inside his last four starts.
There simply aren’t many players in this week’s field that match that course history with current form, so 50/1 is a decent price for the 38-year-old.
Baddeley is a four-time winner on the PGA Tour, so he’s worth backing to at least get into contention on Sunday.
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