Back to win: Matt Kuchar

Dustin Johnson looks a formidable favourite in a really strong field at Hamilton this week, but he’s just too short to back at .

Brooks Koepka’s general indifference to non-majors means he’s also worth swerving, while it’s hard to trust Rory McIlroy after a few middling performances in a row.

For that reason, it’s worth siding with Kuchar, who let me down last week with a missed cut at the Memorial Tournament but should bounce back in Ontario.

The world No. 13 has made headlines for various controversies over the past few months, and they have overshadowed what has been an excellent season so far for the FedEx Cup leader.

Kuchar had made 18 successive cuts before last week’s disappointment, a run that included two wins, two runner-up finishes and three other top 10s.

The 40-year-old ranks ninth in driving accuracy and first in greens in regulation percentage on the PGA Tour, which bodes well for his chances at this short course that rewards players who hit it straight – rather than long – off the tee.

Each-way shout: Scott Piercy

Piercy triumphed when the Canadian Open was last played at Hamilton in 2012, and his recent form suggests he can repeat that feat this week.

The 40-year-old has climbed nearly 50 places to 63rd in the world rankings over his past four starts, having finished T3 at the RBC Heritage, T2 at the AT&T Byron Nelson and T19 at the Charles Schwab Challenge during that run.

Like Kuchar, Piercy has the ideal game for this course. He ranks eighth in GIR percentage and 21st in driving accuracy on the PGA Tour this year.

The American is a top performer on short courses, so this looks a great opportunity to secure his fifth PGA Tour win.

Outside shot: Brian Harman

Harman missed five cuts in six starts between the end of March and mid-May, but he has begun to turn his form around with a T31 and T27 in the last two weeks.

This week is the American’s best chance of getting back into contention for a long time.

Accuracy is Harman’s strong point, and he’s performed well on short courses throughout the past five years.

He finished inside the top 20 at Hamilton in 2012, and his recent form means he’s available at a nice big price this week.

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