NFL betting picks: Best bets for Jets vs Colts
04 Nov
NFL
Jack Green
Zach Brunner provides his best NFL betting picks for Thursday Night Football as the Jets face the Colts in Indianapolis.

First team to score: Colts 9/20

Betting the Colts to win the first quarter straight-up has longer odds than this, so we instead will pick them to score first. The Jets are the worst first-quarter team in the NFL, averaging only one point per game.

The Colts, meanwhile, rank 11th, averaging 4.8 overall and 6.0 at home. After last week’s heart-breaking loss to the Tennessee Titans, look for them to come out strong and motivated. 

First-quarter result: Colts 20/47

The Jets have been flat in the opening quarter this season and the Colts have been strong, so this bet looks worth it.

Yes, Mike White injected some energy into this New York team last week, but Indianapolis now has NFL film to scout the backup quarterback and stop him early. 

Jonathan Taylor anytime touchdown 4/9 

The Jets have allowed the second-most rushing touchdowns per game this season (1.7), and they give up more on the road (2.0) than at home.

Taylor has at least one rushing score in each of his past five games, and should continue the trend on Thursday. Betting Jonathan Taylor to score the first touchdown of the game is currently +400, which is also a nice bet.

Last team to score: Jets 5/4 

The Colts are expected to win this game. However, both teams are inconsistent to the point that I am staying away from a bet on the result. If the Colts are winning, we could see the Jets score garbage time points at the end of the game. We could also see them score the final points to upset Indianapolis.

Either way, we have seen the Colts struggle down the stretch often – including last week – so the Jets feel like the logical bet to be the final scorers, regardless of the game script.