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Montreal Canadiens to win 

At some point, the denial has to go away. The Montreal Canadiens, for stretches of this series and pretty much all of Game 5, have been the far better team. The Vegas Golden Knights have scored more than two goals in just one of the five contests so far and have, at times, looked completely lost offensively as Montreal stays disciplined and Carey Price continues to shut out the lights.

The Habs know how crucial it is to win this series right now. They get two cracks at it, but they can’t let this one go back to Vegas and give the Golden Knights one more chance to get things right in their own building after Montreal won two of three, negating any home ice advantage that the Golden Knights had.

Carey Price probably knows that better than anybody. He’s appeared in 86 playoff games for Montreal, is deeper in the postseason than he’s ever been and has gotten Montreal the closest they’ve been to a Cup Final since winning in 1993. With a .933 save percentage and outright dominance throughout this postseason, Price is the X-factor in the game.

Meanwhile, we don’t yet know which goalie will be starting for the Golden Knights after Marc-Andre Fleury didn’t have his best in Game 5. Robin Lehner could get the nod after his excellent performance in Game 4, but it’s no guarantee Peter DeBoer will stray from his primary goalie with their season on the line.

I’ve had a hard time believing in the Habs all postseason and it’s really cost me. So even though they’ve dragged me there kicking and screaming, I’ll finally put a little faith in them.

Under 5.5 total goals 

This game is going to be tight. Most of the games in this series have been, but with the stakes as high as they are now, no one is going to want to make a mistake.

Neither team has really had a ton of success scoring with any level of consistency in this series. The last game in Montreal, Vegas squeaked by with two goals in a 2-1 OT win despite Montreal controlling large stretches of the game. The game before that Montreal won 3-2 in OT. 

On home ice in these playoffs, Montreal has averaged 2.29 goals per game, while Vegas has averaged 2.38 goals per game on the road.

Nick Suzuki to score 1+ points 

With five points over his last five games including three in Game 5, Suzuki has been one of Montreal’s most impactful forwards game-to-game. He started the series a bit quiet in terms of getting on the score sheet, but he’s been a factor in every game. His two-way play has challenged the Golden Knights’ top players and he’s been able to transition that good defensive play into effective attacks.

The 21-year-old has 13 points in 16 postseason contests and has had an impact on each of the Habs’ previous two close-out games. Suzuki had two points in Game 4 against the Winnipeg Jets in the second round and an assist in Game 7 against the Maple Leafs. He’s going to play big minutes in tonight’s game.

Tyler Toffoli to score anytime

Toffoli is on his longest goal drought of the postseason since he started with no goals in the first five games. After that early drought, he had five in his next eight games. With none in his last three games, maybe he’s due.

Toffoli had two assists in Game 5 and has put 14 shots on goal over the previous five contests against the Golden Knights. He also scored goals in each of the previous two close-out games for Montreal, including the overtime winner against Winnipeg.

Toffoli’s knack for scoring in big games could come through if Montreal’s going to take this one.

BETWAY BOOST: Montreal to win & under 5.5 goals 

BETWAY BOOST: Tyler Toffoli to score 1+ goals & Nick Suzuki to score 1+ points 

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